Tuesday, November 18, 2008

Detroit's number should be Chapter 11

Harvard economics Professor Martin Feldstein, a man who looks at numbers for a living, says "11" is the numeral that Ford, General Motors, and Chrysler should be looking at.

The Big Three U.S. automakers need more than an injection of $25 billion from the federal government. Because of their ongoing losses, they would burn through that money in less than a year and would soon be back for more.

General Motors, Ford and Chrysler can make excellent cars, but they cannot sell them at prices that are competitive with the prices of cars produced in the United States by Toyota and others or with the prices of cars imported from Europe and Asia. The basic reason is the labor costs imposed by union contracts.

The Big Three pay much higher wages than production workers are paid in the nonunion auto firms and in the general economy. And the health-care costs of current workers and retired union members are an enormous additional burden.

The simplest solution is to allow GM and the others to file for bankruptcy. If the companies file under Chapter 11, they would be able to continue producing cars, and the workforce would remain employed while the firms reorganized. The firms would also be able to get short-term credit under bankruptcy protection.

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7 comments:

Anonymous said...

The Chicago Bears may need to file
chapter 11 too, if they don't
have a turn around soon. Then again
Lions are worse then some thought.

Anonymous said...

I wonder how organized labor Aka:
UAW is to the prospect of the big3
filing chapter 11?

Anonymous said...

I worked for GM in the late 1980s.

The issues haven't changed in 20 years... high fixed costs, high labor costs, quality, designing cars people want to buy.

It would be a mistake to kiss off the US auto industry, but now's a great time to take a fresh look at the problems (beyond the nightly talk shows) and rejuvinate an industry long overdue for reform.

This is no time for 30-second sound bite solutions from the same politicians who got us into the financial soup. We need real experts, US and foreign, to re-design the industry.

Personally, I think "11" makes the most sense. You don't get a crack addict off crack by cutting his supply in half.

We need a radical solution. As Daniel H. Burnham said, "Make no little plans; they have no magic to stir men's blood." This could be a great moment to remake an industry.

Marathon Pundit said...

Thanks Robert...as for question #2, the reorganized firms can renogotiate their contracts. The union member would not be getting raises.

The Chicago Bears, at 5-5, are not as good as their record.

Anonymous said...

If it saves them, the big 3 should
really consider it.

Anonymous said...

Have any of the utilities had
lay-offs?

Anonymous said...

The CEO's of the big 3 are sure
persistant fellows.