2010 storm crowds brewing for Dems

Liberal Chicago Tribune columnist Clarence Page takes a look at some troubling poll numbers for the Democrats.

Are storm clouds brewing on the horizon for Democrats?

That's the bad news for Dems from a source that usually prefers news that makes Republicans look bad. When voters were asked if they will "definitely vote" or not in next year's congressional elections, the latest weekly tracking poll commissioned by the decidedly liberal Daily Kos shows a growing enthusiasm gap in favor of Republicans.

It breaks down like this. The first number is certain or likely to vote; the second is unlikely or certain not to vote.

Republican Voters: 81 / 14
Independent Voters: 65 / 23
Democratic Voters: 56 / 40

That means 81 percent of self-described Republicans say they are certain or likely to vote, compared to 65 percent of independent voters and only 56 percent of Democrats. (Full cross-tabs here.)

And note that Democrats are three times more likely to say they won't vote in 2010 than Republicans are and almost twice as likely as independents.

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